Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,643$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(304 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,653.8}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 70.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,653.8\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $52$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(1.8 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57.3}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 57.5)}}\) (asimptote \(57.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $243$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $124,590$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(593 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{615,753.0}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 127.1)}}\) (asimptote \(615,753.0\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,340$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(34.6 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,390.2}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 83.0)}}\) (asimptote \(4,390.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $58,139$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,552$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(164 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,500.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 83.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,500.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $149$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(10.3 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{605.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 135.5)}}\) (asimptote \(605.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,503$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,907$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(4.09 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,841.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 88.5)}}\) (asimptote \(6,841.0\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $120$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(0.644 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{126.2}{1 + 10^{-0.069 (t - 72.0)}}\) (asimptote \(126.2\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,507$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $62,755$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(939 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{113,026.0}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 100.8)}}\) (asimptote \(113,026.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,620$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(73.4 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.9\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $43,398$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,001$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(95.2 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,835.4}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 67.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,835.4\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(1.75 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,454$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,685$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(1.39 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,056.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 61.5)}}\) (asimptote \(13,056.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $885$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(172 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{848.1}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 45.3)}}\) (asimptote \(848.1\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,734$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,027$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(33.9 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,035.0}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 99.1)}}\) (asimptote \(2,035.0\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(0.495 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.6\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $449$ on 2020-06-26